A Causal Model to Compare the Extent of Undergraduates’- Postgraduates’ Impact on Unemployment in Uganda
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Date
2019
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
International Journal of Higher Education
Abstract
The combination of technological unemployment and oversupply of graduates has increased competition in the
labour markets. Postgraduates have been noted to hold more than one job and in some cases apply for jobs meant for
undergraduates. Could this imply that post graduates have created more overall unemployment than undergraduates
have, in the Ugandan labour market? This is the novel of this study. This was accomplished by a statistical model
that comparatively analysed the bi-causal effect of postgraduates on unemployment; versus effect of undergraduates
on unemployment. As such, the study utilised Uganda’s secondary data from 1991 to 2017, and employed the Vector
Error Correction (VECM) model. The results of the study showed the existence of a long run impact of both the
postgraduates and undergraduates on overall unemployment, but an insignificant impact in the short run. The
postgraduates had a greater impact on unemployment in the long run, than the undergraduates. The study therefore
reveals an affirmative answer to the aforementioned question.
Description
Keywords
Undergraduates, Postgraduates, Uganda, Vector error correction model
Citation
Kakooza, V., Wamala, R., Wokadala, J., & Bwire, T. (2019). A Causal Model to Compare the Extent of Undergraduates'-Postgraduates' Impact on Unemployment in Uganda. International Journal of Higher Education, 8(5), 110-117. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijhe.v8n5p110