Counting the cost of drought induced productivity losses in an agro-based economy: The case of Uganda
| dc.contributor.author | Kilimani, Nicholas | |
| dc.contributor.author | Heerden, Jan van | |
| dc.contributor.author | Bohlmann, Heinrich | |
| dc.contributor.author | Roos, Louise | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-02-28T18:02:35Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-02-28T18:02:35Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2016 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Climate variability can affect economies directly through its impact on agricultural output, and indirectly, through its effect on the activi- ties of down-stream industries and household welfare. This paper uses a Computable General Equilibrium model with a disaggregated agricultural sector to analyse the impact of a drought on the Ugandan economy. The losses were assessed with respect to GDP, agricultural output, employ- ment, the trade balance and household consumption. The drought effects were shown to vary by sector. The fall in employment within the agricul- tural industries was less compared to the output losses. At a macro level, exports declined, while at a household level, the terms of trade gains mit- igated part of the potential welfare losses thereby reducing consumption, but to a lesser degree. The findings indicate that a drought can cause substantial losses to the economy. The need for targeted interventions to mitigate such drought impacts is therefore critical. | en_US |
| dc.identifier.citation | Kilimani, N., van Heerden, J., Bohlmann, H., & Roos, L. (2016). Counting the cost of drought induced productivity losses in an agro-based economy: The case of Uganda (No. 201649). | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://econrsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/working_paper_616.pdf | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://nru.uncst.go.ug/handle/123456789/8031 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
| dc.publisher | Economic Research Southern Africa (ERSA) | en_US |
| dc.subject | Computable general equlibrium modelling | en_US |
| dc.subject | Drought | en_US |
| dc.subject | Eco- nomic activity | en_US |
| dc.title | Counting the cost of drought induced productivity losses in an agro-based economy: The case of Uganda | en_US |
| dc.type | Article | en_US |