Macroeconomic effects of a low carbon electrification of greater Kampala Metropolitan area energy policy: A computable general equilibrium analysis
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Date
2022
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Energy Strategy Reviews
Abstract
Greater Kampala Metropolitan Area (GKMA) is Uganda’s capital facing increasing pressures to raise electricity
generation and also mitigate CO2 emissions. A low-carbon electrification of the GKMA energy policy is proposed
for sustainability. But the macroeconomic effects of this policy are unknown. The study uses a multi-sector, single
region, static GKMA-CGE model to address the knowledge gap in 4 scenarios. BAU is the baseline against which
comparisons with Kabejja (20% CO2 abatement); Carbon-Tax ($100/ton) and Lutta scenarios (95% CO2 abatement)
are made. The results indicate GDP increased by Kabejja:0.7%; Carbon-Tax:1.3%; Lutta:1.56% with
respect to BAU. Equivalent variation also increased compared to BAU. Energy & CO2 intensities of GDP decreased
in all scenarios. The study recommends Lutta for a sustainable 2050.
Description
Keywords
Sustainability, Energy scenarios, Static CGE modeling, Low-carbon electrification
Citation
Kimuli, I., Lubwama, M., Sebbit, A., & Kirabira, J. B. (2022). Macroeconomic effects of a low carbon electrification of greater Kampala Metropolitan area energy policy: A computable general equilibrium analysis. Energy Strategy Reviews, 43, 100909. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2022.100909