Determinants of Fertility Change in the Period 2006-2011 among Women Aged 15-49 Years in Uganda
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Date
2018
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
PAA 2018 Annual Meeting
Abstract
Studies on fertility in Uganda have highlighted the importance of demographic
and socioeconomic factors in fertility change but have not isolated the portion of fertility change
attributable to changing characteristics of women from that due to changing behavioral effects.
Methods: Using DHS survey data for Uganda, we decomposed the 2006-2011 change in fertility
among women aged 15-49 years into portions attributable to changing characteristics of women
and changing behavioral effects.
Results: The overall change in fertility was largely attributed to changing characteristics of
women aged 15-49 years in the 2006-2011 period rather than changing behavioral effects.
Change in education level attained and age at first marriage contributed the biggest percentage to
change in fertility between 2006 and 2011. Other significant contributors were changes in;
family size preference, women’s working status, contraceptive use, exposure to family planning
messages, place of residence and age at first sex.
Conclusion: This paper suggests that improvements in social, economic and demographic
characteristics of Ugandan women are the key drivers of the reduction in fertility levels in
Uganda. With continued improvement in secondary school completion, age at first marriage,
contraceptive use and family size preferences will continue to be an important factor of Uganda’s
fertility transition. It is imperative for government and other stakeholder to work out appropriate
strategies to ensure that girls complete at least secondary level of education
Description
Keywords
Change in fertility, Children ever-born, Decomposition, Socioeconomic factors, Demographic factors, Changing characteristics,, Changing effects, Uganda
Citation
ARIHO, P., Kabagenyi, A., & Nzabona, A. (2018, April). Determinants of Fertility Change in the Period 2006-2011 Among Women Aged 15-49 Years in Uganda. In PAA 2018 Annual Meeting . AAP.