Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August–November 2022
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U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases
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Abstract
We estimated the mean serial interval for Sudan virus in Uganda to be 11.7 days (95 CI% 8.2–15.8 days). Estimates for the 2022 outbreak indicate a mean basic reproduction number of 2.4–2.7 (95% CI 1.7–3.5). Estimated net reproduction numbers across districts suggest a marked spatial heterogeneity.
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Marziano, Valentina, Giorgio Guzzetta, Ira Longini, et al. 'Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August-November 2022', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 29/no. 7, (2023), pp. 1429-1432.