Markov Model for Characterizing Neuropsychologic Impairment and Monte Carlo Simulation for Optimizing Efavirenz Therapy

dc.contributor.authorBisaso Kuteesa, Ronald
dc.contributor.authorMukonzo, Jackson K.
dc.contributor.authorEtte, Ene I.
dc.date.accessioned2022-12-04T13:41:24Z
dc.date.available2022-12-04T13:41:24Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.description.abstractThe study was undertaken to develop a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model to characterize efavirenz-induced neuropsychologic impairment, given preexistent impairment, which can be used for the optimization of efavirenz therapy via Monte Carlo simulations. The modeling was performed with NONMEM 7.2. A 1-compartment pharmacokinetic model was fitted to efavirenz concentration data from 196 Ugandan patients treated with a 600-mg daily efavirenz dose. Pharmacokinetic parameters and area under the curve (AUC) were derived. Neuropsychologic evaluation of the patients was done at baseline and in week 2 of antiretroviral therapy. A discrete-time 2-state first-order Markov model was developed to describe neuropsychologic impairment. Efavirenz AUC, day 3 efavirenz trough concentration, and female sex increased the probability (P01) of neuropsychologic impairment. Efavirenz oral clearance (CL/F) increased the probability (P10) of resolution of preexistent neuropsychologic impairment. The predictive performance of the reduced (final) model, given the data, incorporating AUC on P01and CL /F on P10, showed that the model adequately characterized the neuropsychologic impairment observed with efavirenz therapy. Simulations with the developed model predicted a 7% overall reduction in neuropsychologic impairment probability at 450 mg of efavirenz. We recommend a reduction in efavirenz dose from 600 to 450 mg, because the 450-mg dose has been shown to produce sustained antiretroviral efficacyen_US
dc.identifier.citationBisaso, K. R., Mukonzo, J. K., & Ette, E. I. (2015). Markov model for characterizing neuropsychologic impairment and Monte Carlo simulation for optimizing efavirenz therapy. The Journal of Clinical Pharmacology, 55(11), 1229-1235.DOI: 10.1002/jcph.533en_US
dc.identifier.otherDOI: 10.1002/jcph.533
dc.identifier.urihttps://nru.uncst.go.ug/handle/123456789/5834
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherThe Journal of Clinical Pharmacologyen_US
dc.subjectMarkov modelen_US
dc.subjectefavirenzen_US
dc.subjectneuropsychologic impairmenten_US
dc.subjectNONMEMen_US
dc.subjectMonte Carlo simulationen_US
dc.titleMarkov Model for Characterizing Neuropsychologic Impairment and Monte Carlo Simulation for Optimizing Efavirenz Therapyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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