A System Dynamics Model of Land-use Change for Climate Change Adaptation: The Case of Uganda
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Date
2021
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Scitepress science and technology publications
Abstract
System dynamics models in land use change are useful tools for understanding the cause and effect of land
use changes, assessing the impacts of land use systems on the environment, and supports land use planning
and policy dimensions. Several studies have used different methods to examine the drivers of land-use change
in understanding the interactions of land-use change as a result of human activities. However, much less work
has been undertaken to model the future of a suite of ecosystem services in a holistic way. These studies have
been conducted with minimum emphasis on the systemic structures or feedback processes of land-use
decisions. A system dynamics model will be used to model ecosystem services to understand complex
interactions using dynamic synthesis methodology. Questionnaires and interviews will be used for data
collection. The study will explore viable policies for optimal land use to mitigate the degree of future climate
change and risks. Projections of future resource requirements and environmental stress are alarming as a result
of poorly planned economic development. Unless significant measures are taken to incorporate environmental
concerns, the situation is likely to worsen in the future. Modeling complex natural-human systems remains
an important research area.
Description
Keywords
System Dynamics Model, Land-Use Change, Climate, Climate Change Adaptation
Citation
Guma, I. P., Rwashana, A. S., & Oyo, B. (2021). A System Dynamics Model of Land-use Change for Climate Change Adaptation: The Case of Uganda. DOI: 10.5220/0010342101910198