Browsing by Author "Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard"
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Item Building Capacity for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Through Mainstreaming Climate Change in Curricula of Tertiary Training Institutions in Africa(Springer, Cham, 2017) Efitre, Jackson; Natugonza, Vianny; Musinguzi, Laban; Olokotum, Mark; Naigaga, Shamim; Ogutu-Ohwayo, RichardClimate variability and change, which intensified since 1970s, are threatening natural resources and livelihoods in Sub-Saharan Africa where people depend on climate sensitive natural resources, such as agriculture and fisheries, but have limited capacity to adapt. Increasing human and institutional capacity to address threats posed by climate change to natural resources and livelihoods requires building capacity to generate and disseminate information and knowledge on climate change, its impacts, adaptation and mitigation through research, education and raising awareness by tertiary training institutions. Most tertiary training institutions in Africa have curricula covering basic and applied natural resources management but most of them do not include climate change. This paper presents a training curriculum and manual that was developed to fill this gap. The purpose of the paper is to provide in-depth information on how Climate Change can be integrated into the fisheries and aquaculture curricula of tertiary training institutions. It also provides students, scientists, practitioners, and policy makers with an understanding of key concepts and approaches to climate change mitigation measures, adaptation strategies, and policies. The aim is to mainstream climate change in fisheries training. The specific objectives are to facilitate introduction of climate change in fisheries training in Uganda that can be developed further and adopted by other countries in Africa and elsewhere; Equip students with scientific and technical capacity to anticipate and evaluate changes in climate and its influence, communicate information to stakeholders, design, and test adaptation strategies and mitigation measures; and Increase human resource capacity to address climate change issues through reviewing and strengthening of the national education system. The curriculum consists of seven modules covering: Major threats to natural resources; Introduction to climate change; Implications of climate change on aquatic productivity processes and fisheries; Implications of climate change on aquaculture; Livelihoods, impacts, adaptation and mitigation; Aquatic ecosystem modeling in relation to climate change; Principles, policies, regulations and institutions required to address impacts of climate change. The modules will be delivered through lectures, discussions, case studies and field visits. It is recommended that the curriculum and manual be incorporated into training programs of tertiary training institutions to build the capacity required to address climate change challenges particularly for fisheries in Africa.Item Ecosystem modelling of data-limited fisheries: How reliable are Ecopath with Ecosim models without historical time series fitting?(Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2020) Natugonza, Vianny; Ainsworth, Cameron; Sturludóttir, Erla; Musinguzi, Laban; Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard; Tomasson, Tumi; Nyamweya, Chrisphine; Stefansson, GunnarLong-term time series data are not available for many of the African Great Lakes. This precludes fitting ecosystem model parameters to time series data, and we do not know how reliable non-fitted models are compared to fitted ones in terms of predicting consequences of alternative management strategies. To investigate this, we generate a historical Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) model for Lake Victoria (East Africa), fitted to time series data (1980–2015), and a present-day EwE model (representing average conditions for the period 2010–2015). We do scenario simulations using the present-day model and the comparable 2015 end-state of the historical model, and test if incorporating information on short-term biomass trends by adjusting biomass accumulation (BA) parameter in the present-day model increases its reliability. We find that there are differences in model predictions, but those differences can be lessened by adjusting BA terms in the present-day model to reflect biomass trends from short-term empirical data. We also compare the models with and without fitted vulnerability parameters. The models generally give comparable results for the dominant commercial fisheries at low fishing pressure; when fishing mortality is increased, the models give variable predictions. This study adds to the current understanding of the limitations of EwE models that are not challenged to reproduce long-term historical fishery responses to perturbations. We conclude that for the less productive groups, as well as groups that suffer heavy mortality (either due to predation or fisheries), it may be appropriate to use negative BA as first draft assumption in present-day models.Item Ecosystem models of Lake Victoria (East Africa): Can Ecopath with Ecosim and Atlantis predict similar policy outcomes?(Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2019) Natugonza, Vianny; Ainsworth, Cameron; Sturludóttir, Erla; Musinguzi, Laban; Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard; Tomasson, Tumi; Nyamweya, Chrisphine; Stefansson, GunnarEcosystem simulation models are valuable quantitative decision tools for supporting ecosystem-based fisheries management. However, the application of ecosystem models in fisheries management is still undermined by the lack of simple procedures to test the effect of model uncertainty on policy outcomes. The use of multiple ecosystem models is viewed as ‘‘insurance” against the effects of uncertainty emanating from modelling complex systems, which calls for investigations to ascertain whether models with different structure and assumptions can give consistent policy evaluations. We compared two structurallydistinct ecosystem models, Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) and Atlantis, for Lake Victoria by varying fishing mortality of the key functional groups: Nile perch (the top predator) and haplochromines (key prey species). We compared model behaviour at the ecosystem level and at the level of functional groups, by evaluating changes in biomass of targeted groups and the consequent effects of changes in target groups on non-target groups. Results showed qualitative similarities (direction of change) for the major harvested groups; however, the cascading effects on non-target species varied across models, depending on the species interaction feedbacks. We conclude that: EwE and Atlantis, despite the huge differences in ecological processes between the models, can give consistent qualitative advice, which is needed for strategic management decisions; consistency in the representation of trophic interactions may help to minimize variations in simulated fishery responses due to model structure. This study helps to highlight scenarios that are robust to model choice, and for which simpler models (such as EwE) could also provide reliable advice.Item The extent of cage aquaculture, adherence to best practices and reflections for sustainable aquaculture on African inland waters(Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2019) Musinguzi, Laban; Lugya, Jessy; Rwezawula, Philip; Kamya, Ashraf; Nuwahereza, Colleb; Halafo, Jose; Kamondo, Stephanie; Njaya, Friday; Aura, Christopher; Shoko, Amon P.; Osinde, Robert; Natugonza, Vianny; Ogutu-Ohwayo, RichardCage aquaculture is expanding on African inland waters and has potential to close the fish supply deficit in the region and provide other social benefits such as employment and income. However, if not appropriately guided and regulated, cage aquaculture could become unsustainable, causing conflicts with other water uses, environmental degradation and economic losses to aquaculture enterprises. To enhance sustainability of cage aquaculture on the African inland waters, we developed an inventory of cage aquaculture installations and used it to investigate the distribution and magnitude of cage aquaculture and adherence to best practices for sustainable aquaculture. Our results show evidence of spatial expansion of cage aquaculture on the African inland waters, of varying magnitude across and within water bodies and partial adherence to best practices. Cage aquaculture was confirmed on 18 water bodies which together share 263 installations with more than 20,000 cages. Lakes Victoria, Kariba, Volta and River Volta host 82.9% of cage aquaculture installations on the African inland waters and are major areas for cage aquaculture. Contrary to best practices, evidence shows cage aquaculture installations entirely or in close proximity to protected areas, in eutrophic and hypertrophic waters, shallow water bodies and sites ( 5 m average depth) and close to the shoreline. Cage aquaculture is qualified as an additional stressor to the African inland waters and because it is expected to continue expanding, adherence to best practices should be promoted for sustainability.Item Fishers’ perceptions of climate change, impacts on their livelihoods and adaptation strategies in environmental change hotspots: a case of Lake Wamala, Uganda(Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2016) Musinguzi, Laban; Efitre, Jackson; Odongkara, Konstantine; Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard; Muyodi, Fredrick; Natugonza, Vianny; Olokotum, Mark; Namboowa, Sharon; Naigaga, ShamimFisheries resources support livelihoods of fishing communities but are threatened by over-exploitation, habitat degradation, pollution, invasive species and climate change. Unlike the other threats, climate change has received limited consideration and reducing its risks requires appropriate adaptation strategies. This study used quantitative and qualitative methods to generate knowledge on fishers’ perceptions of climate change, changes in climate variables and their impacts on livelihoods, adaptation strategies, constraints to adaptation and required interventions to promote adaptation strategies that would enable fishers to build resilience to sustain their livelihoods. We found that fishers were aware of changes in climate conditions manifested by unpredictable seasons, floods and droughts. Fishing remained the main livelihood activity. However, the dominance of fishes had changed from Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus L.) to the African catfish (Clarias gariepinus Burchell). Floods and droughts were associated with damage to gears, boats, landing sites and changes in fish catches and sizes, income from fishing and fish consumption. The fishers adapted by increasing time on fishing grounds and changing target species and fishing gear among other things. Some innovative fishers diversified to high-value crops and livestock. This increased their income beyond what was solely earned from fishing which provided an incentive for some of them to quit fishing. Livelihood diversification was enhanced by use of communications technology, membership of social groups, increasing fishing days and fishing experience.Item Implications of climate variability and change for African lake ecosystems, fisheries productivity, and livelihoods(Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2016) Natugonza, Vianny; Musinguzi, Laban; Olokotum, Mark; Naigaga, Shamim; Ogutu-Ohwayo, RichardInland fisheries are important for nutrition, employment, and income, but climate variability and change are adding to other stressors, such as overexploitation, pollution, habitat degradation, and invasive species, to threaten their productivity as well as livelihoods of fisheries-dependent communities. Understanding the whole socio-ecological system to enable communities to adapt and build resilience is therefore vital. Here, we present results froma review of the responses of African lakes, fisheries productivity, and livelihoods to climate variability and change, and provide suggestions on required policy interventions to promote adaptation and build resilience. Changes in climate variables, especially temperature, wind speed, and rainfall have contributed to changes in lake water levels, loading, and recycling of nutrients. In somelakes, such disruptions in physical and chemical conditions have triggered changes in water quality, algae and invertebrate productivity, life history of fish, and contributed to shifts in fish community composition, proliferation of invasive aquatic weeds, and changes in parasite–vector–host interactions. Fish yield has either increased or decreased depending on climatic events,with the latter negatively affecting livelihoods, and forcing affected communities to adapt. Because adaptation strategies are location specific, and influenced by local conditions, many adaptation strategies have been unguided and have negatively affected fisheries. The responses of fisheries to climate change vary among lakes of different morphometric characteristics. There is need for consistent data to examine the direction and consequences of climate variability and change on fisheries and livelihoods of specific aquatic systems, and promote location specific adaptation and mitigation measures.Item Paradigm shifts required to promote ecosystem modeling for ecosystem-based fishery management for African inland lakes(Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2017) Musinguzi, Laban; Natugonza, Vianny; Ogutu-Ohwayo, RichardEcosystem-based fishery management (EBFM) is the best option where other fishery management objectives have failed. This makes EBFM important for the African inland lakes and fisheries resources that are among the most threatened in the world despite existing management interventions. Ecosystem modeling provides information that guides EBFM, and, to promote EBFMfor the African inland lakes and fisheries, we present strategies required to promote ecosystemmodeling. The strategies are based on an examination, presented herein, of (i) publication trends in literature applying two leading aquatic ecosystem modeling platforms, Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) and Atlantis, on the African Great Lakes as representatives of African inland lakes and (ii) deficiencies in data eminent in ecosystem models existing on these lakes. The examination indicated that ecosystem modeling is inactive on the African Great Lakes, and there is limited local and regional capacity for ecosystem modeling with existing models predominantly led by foreign researchers and marred by data deficiencies. The implications of these observations for ecosystem modeling and EBFM for the African Great Lakes are discussed. The strategies required to promote ecosystem modeling include supporting short-term training workshops to equip local scientistswith basic skills for ecosystemmodeling,mainstreaming ecosystemmodeling in fisheries training curriculum of local universities, and conducting data collection surveys to fill data deficiencies. These are envisaged to increase capacity and activate ecosystem modeling, and consequently promote EBFM.Item The responses of Nile tilapia Oreochromis niloticus (Linnaeus, 1758) in Lake Wamala (Uganda) to changing climatic conditions(Lakes & Reservoirs: Research & Management, 2015) Vianny, Natugonza; Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard; Efitre, Jackson; Muyodi, Fredrick; Mbabazi, Dismas; Olokotum, Mark; Musinguzi, Laban; Naigaga, Shamim; Namboowa, SharonChanges in the catches of Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus (Linnaeus, 1758), in Lake Wamala (Uganda) have been observed since its introduction. The factors contributing to these changes, however, are not well understood. This study examined changes in species composition, size structure, size at first maturity, length–weight relationship and condition factor of Nile tilapia in Lake Wamala, in relation to changes in temperature, rainfall and lake depth, to provide a better understanding of the possible role of changing climatic conditions. There was an increase in the minimum, maximum and average temperatures since 1980, but only the minimum (0.021 °C year 1) and average temperatures (0.018 °C year 1) exhibited a significant trend (P < 0.05). Rainfall increased by 8.25 mm year 1 since 1950 and accounted for 79.5% of the water input into the lake during the period 2011–2013, while evaporation accounted for 86.2% of the water loss from the lake. The lake depth was above 4 m during the years when the rainfall exceeded the average of 1180 mm, except after 2000. The contribution of Nile tilapia to total fish catch and catch per unit effort (CPUE) increased with rainfall and lake depth up to the year 2000, after which they decreased, despite an increased rainfall level. The lake depth was positively correlated with the average total length and length at 50% maturity (r = 0.991 and 0.726, respectively), while the slopes of the length–weight relationships differed significantly between high and low lake depths [t(6) = 3.225, P < 0.05]. Nile tilapia shifted from an algal-dominated diet during the wet season to include more insects during the dry season. The results of this study indicate Nile tilapia in Lake Wamala displays a typical r-selected reproductive strategy, by growing to a small size, maturing faster and feeding on different food types, in order to survive high mortality rates under unfavourable conditions attributable to higher temperatures, low rainfall and low lake water levels.Item Using sediment fingerprinting to identify erosion hotspots in a sub-catchment of Lake Kivu, Rwanda(Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 2020) Akayezu, Providence; Musinguzi, Laban; Natugonza, Vianny; Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard; Mwathe, Ken; Dutton, Christopher; Manyifika, MarcSedimentation of water bodies affects water quality and biotic communities of aquatic ecosystems. Understanding the causes and origin of sediments is crucial for planning watershed management activities and safeguarding aquatic biodiversity and critical ecosystem services. Rwanda, as a hilly country, experiences increased sedimentation due to unsustainable land use practices in upstream catchment areas which negatively affects irrigation, fishing and hydropower generation. We used a sediment fingerprinting technique to determine sources of sedimentation and identifying hotspots of soil erosion in Sebeya River Catchment (area of 357 km2), a subcatchment of Lake Kivu located in Northwest Rwanda. Five soil samples were collected from each of the six geological classes, and 34 suspended sediment samples were taken within key locations of the hydrological network in the catchment. X-Ray Spectrometry was used to determine the geochemical composition of suspended sediments and soil. A multi-step statistical procedure with a Bayesian mixing model was used to determine the contribution of each geologic group and sub-catchment to the suspended sediments in the river. Erosion hotspots were classified based on the underlying land use and their contribution to the suspended sediments. The resulting erosion hotspot map shows that about 70.9% of the Sebeya Catchment area contributes at least 50% of sediment load in the river and currently experiences unsustainable land use and land cover. The erosion hotspots identified and culpable factors should be used to guide best land use practices, prioritizing the areas with high contribution to the river sedimentation in Sebeya Catchment.