Browsing by Author "Newton, Rob"
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Item Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes in Rural Uganda (1996–2013): Trends and Associated Factors from Serial Cross Sectional Surveys(BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2015) Asiki, Gershim; Baisley, Kathy; Newton, Rob; Marion, Lena; Seeley, Janet; Kamali, Anatoli; Smedman, LarsCommunity based evidence on pregnancy outcomes in rural Africa is lacking yet it is needed to guide maternal and child health interventions. We estimated and compared adverse pregnancy outcomes and associated factors in rural south-western Uganda using two survey methods.Within a general population cohort, between 1996 and 2013, women aged 15–49 years were interviewed on their pregnancy outcome in the past 12 months (method 1). During 2012–13, women in the same cohort were interviewed on their lifetime experience of pregnancy outcomes (method 2). Adverse pregnancy outcome was defined as abortions or stillbirths. We used random effects logistic regression for method 1 and negative binomial regression with robust clustered standard errors for method 2 to explore factors associated with adverse outcome.One third of women reported an adverse pregnancy outcome; 10.8 % (abortion = 8.4 %, stillbirth = 2.4 %) by method 1 and 8.5 % (abortion = 7.2 %, stillbirth = 1.3 %) by method 2. Abortion rates were similar (10.8 vs 10.5) per 1000 women and stillbirth rates differed (26.2 vs 13.8) per 1000 births by methods 1 and 2 respectively. Abortion risk increased with age of mother, non-attendance of antenatal care and proximity to the road. Lifetime stillbirth risk increased with age. Abortion and stillbirth risk reduced with increasing parity.Both methods had a high level of agreement in estimating abortion rate but were markedly below national estimates. Stillbirth rate estimated by method 1 was double that estimated by method 2 but method 1 estimate was more consistent with the national estimates.Strategies to improve prospective community level data collection to reduce reporting biases are needed to guide maternal health interventions.Item Epidemiology of Microbial Keratitis in Uganda: A Cohort Study(Ophthalmic Epidemiology, 2020) Arunga, Simon; Kintoki, Guyguy M.; Mwesigye, James; Ayebazibwe, Bosco; Onyango, John; Bazira, Joel; Newton, Rob; Gichuhi, Stephen; Leck, Astrid; Macleod, David; Hu, Victor H.; Burton, Matthew J.To describe the epidemiology of Microbial Keratitis (MK) in Uganda. Methods: We prospectively recruited patients presenting with MK at two main eye units in Southern Uganda between December 2016 and March 2018. We collected information on clinical history and presentation, microbiology and 3-month outcomes. Poor vision was defined as vision < 6/60). Results: 313 individuals were enrolled. Median age was 47 years (range 18–96) and 174 (56%) were male. Median presentation time was 17 days from onset (IQR 8–32). Trauma was reported by 29% and use of Traditional Eye Medicine by 60%. Majority presented with severe infections (median infiltrate size 5.2 mm); 47% were blind in the affected eye (vision < 3/60). Microbiology was available from 270 cases: 62% were fungal, 7% mixed (bacterial and fungal), 7% bacterial and 24% no organism detected. At 3 months, 30% of the participants were blind in the affected eye, while 9% had lost their eye from the infection. Delayed presentation (overall p = .007) and prior use of Traditional Eye Medicine (aOR 1.58 [95% CI 1.04–2.42], p = .033) were responsible for poor presentation. Predictors of poor vision at 3 months were: baseline vision (aOR 2.98 [95%CI 2.12–4.19], p < .0001), infiltrate size (aOR 1.19 [95%CI 1.03–1.36], p < .020) and perforation at presentation (aOR 9.93 [95% CI 3.70–26.6], p < .0001). Conclusion: The most important outcome predictor was the state of the eye at presentation, facilitated by prior use of Traditional Eye Medicine and delayed presentation. In order to improve outcomes, we need effective early interventions.Item Sustained virological response and drug resistance among female sex workers living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in Kampala, Uganda: a cross sectional study(Sexually transmitted infections, 2019) Namale, Gertrude; Kamacooko, Onesmus; Bagiire, Daniel; Mayanja, Yunia; Abaasa, Andrew; Kilembe, William; Price, Matt; Ssemwanga, Deogratius; Lunkuse, Sandra; Nanyonjo, Maria; Ssenyonga, William; Mayaud, Philippe; Newton, Rob; Kaleebu, Pontiano; Seeley, JanetWe assessed the prevalence and risk factors associated with virological failure among female sex workers living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART ) in Kampala, Uganda. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study between January 2015 and December 2016 using routinely collected data at a research clinic providing services to women at high risk of STIs including HIV. Plasma samples were tested for viral load from HIVseropositive women aged ≥18 years who had been on ART for at least 6 months and had received adherence counselling. Samples from women with virological failure (≥1000 copies/mL) were tested for HIV drug resistance by population-based sequencing. We used logistic regression to identify factors associated with virological failure. Results Of 584 women, 432 (74%) with a mean age of 32 (SD 6.5) were assessed, and 38 (9%) were found to have virological failure. HIV resistance testing was available for 78% (28/38), of whom 82.1% (23/28) had at least one major drug resistance mutation (DRM), most frequently M184V (70%, 16/23) and K103N (65%, 15/23). In multivariable analysis, virological failure was associated with participant age 18–24 (adjusted OR (aOR)=5.3, 95% CI 1.6 to 17.9), self-reported ART nonadherence (aOR=2.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 5.8) and baseline CD4+ T-cell count ≤350 cells/mm3 (aOR=3.1, 95% CI 1.4 to 7.0). Conclusions A relatively low prevalence of virological failure but high rate of DRM was found in this population at high risk of transmission. Younger age, self-reported ART non-adherence and low CD4+ T-cell count on ART initiation were associated with increased risk of virological failure.