Browsing by Author "Mukoki, James"

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    Asymmetric Analysis of the Impact of Taxation on Unemployment in Uganda
    (East African Journal of Business and Economics, 2024) Mukoki, James; Mukisa, Ibrahim; Ssebulime, Kurayish; Musoke, Edward
    Uganda, like most developing countries, has one of the highest tax rates not only in Africa but also in the world. This explains the numerous challenges faced in mobilizing sufficient revenues to fight poverty and improve people’s economic welfare. We, therefore, use a more recent nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL) to analyze the impact of higher taxes on the unemployment rate in Uganda. Results indicate that total Unemployment in Uganda is a negative function of both an increase in tax and a negative change in tax. Specifically, if taxes increase, then unemployment decreases by almost 3.9%, and if taxes decrease, then unemployment increases by about 4.9%. Also, the unemployment level decreased by 0.06% with a decrease in the gross capital formation (GFKF). Finally, unemployment also decreases with a rise in GDP and decreases with a decrease in GDP. In a nutshell, Uganda lacks the possibility of making the economy more productive and thus only relies on taxing an already overtaxed economy. Overtaxing an economy kills the possibility of ever building a formidable capital base that can stimulate economic growth and reduce poverty and unemployment. The government, therefore, should cut taxes and level the playing field regarding tax policies for foreign and home-grown investors. Finally, policymakers should also aim to unlock the potential of the informal sector not only to create jobs but also to widen the tax base
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    Demographic and Media Factors Affecting Women’s Demand for Different types of Health Insurance: Evidence from a Developing Country
    (F1000Research, 2022) Musoke, Edward; Ssekiziyivu, Bob; Mukoki, James; Ashaba, Claire
    In the absence of a National Health Insurance Scheme, many Ugandans don’t have access to basic health care because of the high cost of attaining this health care. The problem is even worse among women who are faced with higher rates of morbidity and hospitalization. The objective of the study was to assess demographic and media factors affecting the demand for community, employer provided and private health insurance among women in Uganda. The study used secondary data from the 2016 Uganda Demographic Health Survey, a nationally representative survey. The sample comprised of 18,506 women aged 15-49 years from a population of 20,880 households. Data were analyzed using STATA version 15. Descriptive statistics, Chi square tests and the Firth logistic regression were used to understand the frequency distribution of different types of health insurance, demographic and media factors, associations between different types of health insurance, demographic and media factors and the demographic and media factors affecting the demand for community, employer provided and private health insurance.The results indicated low demand for different types of health insurance among women. Education and wealth were the demographic factors that affected the demand for community and employer provided health insurance while marital status, age and education were demographic factors that affected the demand for community, employer provided and private health insurance respectively. Watching television, reading newspapers and listening to radio were the media factors that affected the demand for employer provided health insurance while listening to radio was the only media factor that affected the demand for community health insurance. There is a need to expedite the National Health Insurance policy to enhance the uptake of health insurance among women in Uganda.
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    Sectoral Growth Patterns and Unemployment in Uganda
    (East African Journal of Business and Economics, 2023) Mukoki, James; Hisali, Eria; Mukisa, Ibrahim
    Uganda’s labour market is typically characterized by extensive productivity and earning variations with large amounts of labour trapped and toiling in low-productivity subsistence activities. A policy aimed at reallocating such underemployed labour to higher productivity activities plays a role in tackling the unemployment problem and is a top priority for policymakers. This study examines the asymmetric effects of differential sectoral growth on unemployment in Uganda, considering both the size and composition effect of sectoral growth. The results of this study indicated that a positive shock in agricultural sector value added has a positive causal effect on unemployment. Also, a positive and negative shock in the industrial sector does not affect the level of unemployment. Finally, both a positive and negative shock in the service sector value added has a negative effect on the unemployment level. Another interesting finding of this study is that both the size and composition of sectoral growth matter in addressing the unemployment problem in Uganda. Therefore, both positive and negative shocks should be forecasted and incorporated in government planning frameworks for short, medium, and long particularly during manpower planning. However, sectors with higher labour intensity should be prioritized in budgetary allocations, the government should devise means of reducing underemployment of labour trapped in low-productivity agriculture and other small-scale production activities to create meaningful employment.