NRU :: Browsing by Author "Chang, Larry W."

Browsing by Author "Chang, Larry W."

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Association of Medical Male Circumcision and Antiretroviral Therapy Scale-up With Community HIV Incidence in Rakai,Uganda
(American Medical Association, 2016) Kong, Xiangrong; Kigozi, Godfrey; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Nalugoda, Fred; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Ndyanabo, Anthony; Lutalo, Tom; Reynolds, Steven J.; Ssekubugu, Robert; Kagaayi, Joseph; Bugos, Eva; Chang, Larry W.; Nanlesta, Pilgrim; Mary, Grabowski; Berman, Amanda; Quinn, Thomas C.; Serwadda, David; Wawer, Maria J.; Gray, Ronald H.
Randomized trials have shown that medical male circumcision( MMC)reduces maleHIVacquisition by50% to 60%,1-3 and that early initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) reduces HIV transmission by more than90%in HIV-discordant couples.4Mathematical modeling suggests that these interventions could mitigate the HIV epidemic in sub- Saharan Africa,5-7 but there is limited empirical evidence for the population-level effects of these interventions on HIV incidence in real-world programs. MMC provides direct protection against male HIV acquisition by removing the foreskin, which is rich in HIV target cells.8-10 The potential effect ofMMCon population-level HIV incidence depends on this biological effect, the level ofMMC coverage, risk profiles ofmenacceptingMMC,and whether behavioral disinhibition occurs following circumcision.
Cell Phones, Sexual Behaviors and HIV Prevalence in Rakai, Uganda: A Cross Sectional Analysis of Longitudinal Data
(AIDS and Behavior, 2020) Nalugoda, Fred; Kreniske, Philip; Hofer, Sarah; Zhong, Xiaobo; Wei, Ying; Grilo, Stephanie A.; Chen, Ivy; D. Kigozi, Ssebaggala; Kigozi, Godfrey; Lutalo, Tom; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nakawooya, Hadijja; Kagaayi, Joseph; Chang, Larry W.; Wawer, Maria J.; Gray, Ronald H.; Wang, Qianshu; Santelli, John S.
Cell phones have increased communication and connection across the globe and particularly in sub-Saharan Africa—with potential consequences for the HIV epidemic. We examined the association among ownership of cell phones, sexual behaviors (number of sexual partners, alcohol use before sex, inconsistent condom use), and HIV prevalence. Data were from four rounds (2010–2016) of the Rakai Community Cohort Study (N = 58,275). Sexual behaviors and HIV prevalence were compared between people who owned a cell phone to people who did not own a cell phone. We stratified analysis by younger (15–24 years) and older (25+ years) age groups and by gender. Using logistic regression and after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, we found cell phone ownership was independently associated with increased odds of having two or more sexual partners in the past 12 months across age and gender groups (young men AOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.47–1.90; young women AOR 1.28 95% CI 1.08–1.53; older men AOR 1.54 95% CI 1.41–1.69; older women AOR 1.44 95% CI 1.26–1.65). Interestingly, young men who owned cell phones had decreased odds of using condoms inconsistently (AOR 0.66, 95% CI 0.57–0.75). For young women, cell phone ownership was associated with increased odds of using alcohol before sex (AOR 1.38 95% CI 1.17–1.63) and increased odds of inconsistent condom use (AOR 1.40, 95% 1.17–1.67). After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, only young women who owned cell phones had increased odds of being HIV positive (AOR 1.27 95% CI 1.07–1.50). This association was not mediated by sexual behaviors (Adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and sexual behaviors AOR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05–1.46). While cell phone ownership appears to be associated with increased HIV risk for young women, we also see a potential opportunity for future cell phone-based health interventions.
Effect of Peer Health Workers on AIDS Care in Rakai, Uganda: A Cluster-Randomized Trial
(PloS one, 2010) Chang, Larry W.; Kagaayi, Joseph; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Ssempijja, Victor; Packer, Arnold H.; Serwadda, David; Quinn, Thomas C.; Gray, Ronald H.; Bollinger, Robert C.; Reynolds, Steven J.
Human resource limitations are a challenge to the delivery of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in low-resource settings. We conducted a cluster randomized trial to assess the effect of community-based peer health workers (PHW) on AIDS care of adults in Rakai, Uganda. Methodology/Principal Findings: 15 AIDS clinics were randomized 2:1 to receive the PHW intervention (n = 10) or control (n = 5). PHWtasks included clinic and home-based provision of counseling, clinical, adherence to ART, and social support. Primary outcomes were adherence and cumulative risk of virologic failure (.400 copies/mL). Secondary outcomes were virologic failure at each 24 week time point up to 192 weeks of ART. Analysis was by intention to treat. FromMay 2006 to July 2008, 1336 patients were followed. 444 (33%) of these patients were already on ART at the start of the study. No significant differences were found in lack of adherence (,95% pill count adherence risk ratio [RR] 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23–1.35; ,100% adherence RR 1.10, 95% CI 0.94–1.30), cumulative risk of virologic failure (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.61–1.08) or in shorter-term virologic outcomes (24 week virologic failure RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.65–1.32; 48 week, RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.47–1.48; 72 week, RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.44–1.49). However, virologic failure rates$96 weeks into ART were significantly decreased in the intervention armcompared to the control arm (96 week failure RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.31–0.81; 120 week, RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.22–1.60; 144 week, RR 0.39, 95% CI 0.16–0.95; 168 week, RR 0.30, 95% CI 0.097–0.92; 192 week, RR 0.067, 95% CI 0.0065–0.71). Conclusions/Significance: A PHW intervention was associated with decreased virologic failure rates occurring 96 weeks and longer into ART, but did not affect cumulative risk of virologic failure, adherence measures, or shorter-term virologic outcomes. PHWs may be an effective intervention to sustain long-term ART in low-resource settings
Effectiveness of Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevention in Rakai, Uganda
(Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2021) Loevinsohn, Gideon; Kigozi, Godfrey; Kagaayi, Joseph; Wawer, Maria J.; Nalugoda, Fred; Chang, Larry W.; Quinn, Thomas C.; Serwadda, David; Reynolds, Steven J.; Nelson, Lisa; Mills, Lisa; Alamo, Stella; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Kabuye, Geoffrey; Ssekubugu, Robert; Tobian, Aaron A. R.; Gray, Ronald H.; Grabowski, M. Kathryn
The efficacy of voluntary male medical circumcision (VMMC) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevention in men was demonstrated in 3 randomized trials. This led to the adoption of VMMC as an integral component of the United States President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) combination HIV prevention program in sub-Saharan Africa. However, evidence on the individual-level effectiveness of VMMC programs in real-world, programmatic settings is limited. A cohort of initially uncircumcised, non-Muslim, HIV-uninfected men in the Rakai Community Cohort Study in Uganda was followed between 2009 and 2016 during VMMC scale-up. Self-reported VMMC status was collected and HIV tests performed at surveys conducted every 18 months. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of HIV acquisition in newly circumcised vs uncircumcised men.
Heterogeneity of the HIV epidemic in agrarian, trading, and fi shing communities in Rakai, Uganda: an observational epidemiological study
(The lancet HIV, 2016) Chang, Larry W.; Grabowsk, Mary K.; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nalugoda, Fred; Kigozi, Godfrey; Nantume, Betty; Lessler, Justin; Moore, Sean M.; Quinn, Thomas C.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Gray, Ronald H.; Serwadda, David; Wawer, Maria J.
Understanding the extent to which HIV burden diff ers across communities and the drivers of lo cal disparities is crucial for an eff ective and targeted HIV response. We assessed community-level variations in HIV prevalence, risk factors, and treatment and prevention service uptake in Rakai, Uganda. Methods The Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) is an open, population-based cohort of people aged 15–49 years in 40 communities. Participants are HIV tested and interviewed to obtain sociodemographic, behavioural, and health information. RCCS data from Aug 10, 2011, to May 30, 2013, were used to classify communities as agrarian (n=27), trading (n=9), or lakeside fi shing sites (n=4). We mapped HIV prevalence with Bayesian methods, and characterised variability across and within community classifi cations. We also assessed diff erences in HIV risk factors and uptake of antiretroviral therapy and male circumcision between community types. Findings 17 119 individuals were included, 9215 (54%) of whom were female. 9931 participants resided in agrarian, 3318 in trading, and 3870 in fi shing communities. Median HIV prevalence was higher in fi shing communities (42%, range 38–43) than in trading (17%, 11–21) and agrarian communities (14%, 9–26). Antiretroviral therapy use was signifi cantly lower in both men and women in fi shing communities than in trading (age-adjusted prevalence risk ratio in men 0·64, 95% CI 0·44–0·97; women 0·53, 0·42–0·66) and agrarian communities (men 0·55, 0·42–0·72; women 0·65, 0·54–0·79), as was circumcision coverage among men (vs trading 0·48, 0·42–0·55; vs agrarian 0·64, 0·56–0·72). Self-reported risk behaviours were signifi cantly higher in men than in women and in fi shing communities than in other community types. Interpretation Substantial heterogeneity in HIV prevalence, risk factors, and service uptake in Rakai, Uganda, emphasises the need for local surveillance and the design of targeted HIV responses. High HIV burden, risk behaviours, and low use of combination HIV prevention in fi shing communities make these populations a priority for intervention. Funding National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the National Institute of Child Health and Development, and the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of Intramural Research, National Institutes of Health; the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and the Johns Hopkins University Center for AIDS Research.
HIV serologically indeterminate individuals: Future HIV status and risk factors
(PLoS ONE, 2020) Mwinnyaa, George; Grabowski, Mary K.; Gray, Ronald H.; Wawer, Maria; Chang, Larry W.; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Kagaayi, Joseph; Kigozi, Godfrey; Kalibbala, Sarah; Galiwango, Ronald M.; Ndyanabo, Anthony; Serwadda, David; Quinn, Thomas C.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Laeyendecker, Oliver
Indeterminate HIV test results are common, but little is known about the evolution of indeterminate serology and itssociodemographic and behavioral correlates. We assessed future HIV serological outcomes for individuals with indeterminate results and associated factors in Rakai, Uganda. Methods 115,944 serological results, defined by two enzyme immunoassay (EIAs), among 39,440 individuals aged 15–49 years in the Rakai Community Cohort Study were assessed. Indeterminate results were defined as contradictory EIAs. Modified Poisson regression models with generalized estimating equations were used to assess prevalence ratios (PRs) of subsequent HIV serological outcomes and factors associated with HIV indeterminate results.
HIV viral suppression and geospatial patterns of HIV antiretroviral therapy treatment facility use in Rakai, Uganda
(AIDS (London, England), 2018) Billioux, Veena G.; Grabowski, Mary K.; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Reynolds, Steven J.; Berman, Amanda; Bazaale, Jeremiah; Patel, Eshan U.; Bugos, Eva; Ndyanabo, Anthony; Kisakye, Alice; Kagaayi, Joseph; Gray, Ronald H.; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nalugoda, Fred; Serwadda, David; Wawer, Maria J.; Chang, Larry W.
To assess geospatial patterns of HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) treatment facility use and whether they were impacted by viral load (VL) suppression. Methods—We extracted data on the location and type of care services utilized by HIV-positive persons accessing ART between February 2015 and September 2016 from the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) in Uganda. The distance from RCCS households to facilities offering ART was calculated using the open street map road network. Modified Poisson regression was used to identify predictors of distance traveled and, for those traveling beyond their nearest facility, the probability of accessing services from a tertiary care facility. Results—1554 HIV-positive participants were identified, of whom 68% had initiated ART. The median distance from households to the nearest ART facility was 3.10 km (Interquartile range, IQR, 1.65–5.05), but the median distance traveled was 5.26 km (IQR, 3.00–10.03, p<0.001) and 57% of individuals travelled further than their nearest facility for ART. Those with higher education and wealth were more likely to travel further. 93% of persons on ART were virally suppressed, and there was no difference in the distance traveled to an ART facility between those with suppressed and unsuppressed VLs (5.26 km vs. 5.27 km, p=0.650). Conclusions—Distance traveled to HIV clinics was increased with higher socioeconomic status, suggesting that wealthier individuals exercise greater choice. However, distance traveled did not vary by those who were or were not virally suppressed.
Household-Based HIV Counseling and Testing as a Platform for Referral to HIV Care and Medical Male Circumcision in Uganda: A Pilot Evaluation
(PloS one, 2012) Tumwebaze, Henry; Tumwesigye, Elioda; Baeten, Jared M.; Kurth, Ann E.; Revall, Jennifer; Murnane, Pamela M.; Chang, Larry W.; Celum, Connie
Combination HIV prevention initiatives incorporate evidence-based, biomedical and behavioral interventions appropriate and acceptable to specific populations, aiming to significantly reduce population-level HIV incidence. Knowledge of HIV serostatus is key to linkages to HIV care and prevention. Household-based HIV counseling and testing (HBCT) can achieve high HIV testing rates. We evaluated HBCT as a platform for delivery of combination HIV prevention services in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: We conducted HBCT in a semi-urban area in southwestern Uganda. All adults received standard HIV prevention messaging. Real-time electronic data collection included a brief risk assessment and prevention triage algorithm for referrals of HIV seropositive persons to HIV care and uncircumcised HIV seronegative men with multiple sex partners to male circumcision. Monthly follow-up visits for 3 months were conducted to promote uptake of HIV care and male circumcision. Results: 855 households received HBCT; 1587 of 1941 (81.8%) adults were present at the HBCT visit, 1557 (98.1% of those present) were tested and received HIV results, of whom, 46.5% were men. A total of 152 (9.8%) were HIV seropositive, for whom the median CD4 count was 456 cells/mL, and 50.7% were newly-identified as HIV seropositive. Three months after HBCT, 88.5% of HIV seropositive persons had attended an HIV care clinic; among those with CD4 counts ,250 cells/mL, 71.4% initiated antiretroviral therapy. Among 123 HIV seronegative men with an HIV+ partner or multiple partners, 62.0% were circumcised by month 3. Conclusions: HBCT achieves high levels of knowledge of HIV serostatus and is an effective platform for identifying at-risk persons and achieving higher uptake of HIV prevention and care services through referrals and targeted follow-up than has been accomplished through other single focus strategies.
Human immunodeficiency virus care cascade among sub-populations in Rakai, Uganda: an observational study
(Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2017) Billioux, Veena G.; Chang, Larry W.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Grabowski, Mary K.; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nalugoda, Fred; Kigozi, Godfrey; Kagaayi, Joseph; Serwadda, David; Gray, Ronald H.; Wawer, Maria J.
To assess progress towards the UNAIDS 90–90–90 initiative targets, we examined the HIV care cascade in the population-based Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) in rural Uganda and examined differences between sub-groups. Methods: Self-reports and clinical records were used to assess the proportion achieving each stage in the cascade. Statistical inference based on a 2 test for categorical variables and modified Poisson regression were used to estimate prevalence risk ratios (PRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for enrolment into care and initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART). Results: From September 2013 through December 2015, 3,666 HIV-positive participants were identified in the RCCS. As of December 2015, 98% had received HIV Counseling and Testing (HCT), 74% were enrolled in HIV care, and 63% had initiated ART of whom 92% were virally suppressed after 12 months on ART. Engagement in care was lower among men than women (enrolment in care: adjPRR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77–0.91; ART initiation: adjPRR 0.75, 95% CI 0.69–0.82), persons aged 15–24 compared to those aged 30–39 (enrolment: adjPRR 0.72, 95% CI 0.63–0.82; ART: adjPRR 0.69, 95%CI 0.60–0.80), unmarried persons (enrolment: adjPRR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71–0.99; ART adjPRR 0.80, 95% CI 0.66–0.95), and new in-migrants (enrolment: adjPRR 0.75, 95% CI 0.67–0.83; ART: adjPRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.67–0.85). This cohort achieved 98–65–92 towards the UNAIDS “90–90–90” targets with an estimated 58% of the entire HIV-positive RCCS population virally suppressed. Conclusions: This cohort achieved over 90% in both HCT and viral suppression among ART users, but only 65% in initiating ART, likely due to both an ART eligibility criterion of <500 CD4 cells/mL and suboptimal entry into care among men, younger individuals, and in-migrants. Interventions are needed to promote enrolment in HIV care, particular for hard-to-reach subpopulations.
Hypertension and Socioeconomic Status in South Central Uganda: A Population-Based Cohort Study
(Global Heart, 2022) Mustapha, Aishat; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Chen, Ivy; Kathryn Grabowski, Mary; Ssekubugu, Robert; Kigozi, Godfrey; Reynolds, Steven J.; Gray, Ronald H.; Wawer, Maria J.; Kagaayi, Joseph; Chang, Larry W.; Post, Wendy S.
Limited studies exploring the impact of socioeconomic status (SES) on hypertension in Africa suggest a positive association between higher SES and hypertension. The economic development in sub-Saharan African countries has led to changes in SES and associated changes in lifestyle, diet, and physical activity, which may affect the relationship between hypertension and SES differently compared with higher income countries. This cross-sectional study from a large populationbased cohort, the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS), examines SES, hypertension prevalence, and associated risk factors in the rural Rakai Region in south-central Uganda. Methods: Adults aged 30–49 years residing in 41 RCCS fishing, trading, and agrarian communities, were surveyed with biometric data obtained between 2016 and 2018. The primary outcome was hypertension (systolic blood pressure (BP) ≥ 130 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥ 80 mmHg). Modified Poisson regression assessed the adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) of hypertension associated with SES; body mass index (BMI) was explored as a potential mediator. Results: Among 9,654 adults, 20.8% had hypertension (males 21.2%; females 20.4 %). Participants with hypertension were older (39.0 ± 6.0 vs. 37.8 ± 5.0; p < 0.001). Higher SES was associated with overweight or obese BMI categories (p < 0.001). In the multivariable model, hypertension was associated with the highest SES category (aPR 1.23; confidence interval 1.09–1.38; p = 0.001), older age, male sex, alcohol use, and living in fishing communities and inversely associated with smoking and positive HIV serostatus. When BMI was included in the model, there was no association between SES and hypertension (aPR 1.02; CI 0.90–1.15, p = 0.76). Conclusion: Hypertension is common in rural Uganda among individuals with higher SES and appears to be mediated by BMI. Targeted interventions could focus on lifestyle modification among highest-risk groups to optimize public health impact.
Impact of combination HIV interventions on HIV incidence in hyperendemic fishing communities in Uganda: a prospective cohort study
(The lancet HIV,, 2019) Kagaayi, Joseph; Chang, Larry W.; Ssempijja, Victor; Grabowski, M. Kate; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Kigozi, Godfrey; Serwadda, David M.; Gray, Ronald H.; Nalugoda, Fred; Sewankambo, Nelson K; Nelson, Lisa; Mills, Lisa A.; Kabatesi, Donna; Alamo, Stella; Kennedy, Caitlin E.; Tobian, Aaron A. R.; Santelli, John S.; Mia Ekström, Anna; Nordenstedt, Helena; Quinn, Thomas C.; Wawer, Maria J.; Reynolds, Steven J.
Targeting combination HIV interventions to locations and populations with high HIV burden is a global priority, but the impact of these strategies on HIV incidence is unclear. We assessed the impact of combination HIV interventions on HIV incidence in four HIV-hyperendemic communities in Uganda. Methods We did an open population-based cohort study of people aged 15–49 years residing in four fishing communities on Lake Victoria. The communities were surveyed five times to collect self-reported demographic, behavioural, and service-uptake data. Free HIV testing was provided at each interview, with referral to combination HIV intervention services as appropriate. From November, 2011, combination HIV intervention services were rapidly expanded in these geographical areas. We evaluated trends in HIV testing coverage among all participants, circumcision coverage among male participants, antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage and HIV viral load among HIV-positive participants, and sexual behaviours and HIV incidence among HIV-negative participants. Findings From Nov 4, 2011, to Aug 16, 2017, data were collected from five surveys. Overall, 8942 participants contributed 20 721 person-visits; 4619 (52%) of 8942 participants were male. HIV prevalence was 41% (1598 of 3870) in the 2011–12 baseline survey and declined to 37% (1740 of 4738) at the final survey (p<0·0001). 3222 participants who were HIV-negative at baseline, and who had at least one repeat visit, contributed 9477 person-years of follow-up, and 230 incident HIV infections occurred. From the first survey in 2011–12 to the last survey in 2016–17, HIV testing coverage increased from 68% (2613 of 3870) to 96% (4526 of 4738; p<0·0001); male circumcision coverage increased from 35% (698 of 2011) to 65% (1630 of 2525; p<0·0001); ART coverage increased from 16% (254 of 1598) to 82% (1420 of 1740; p<0·0001); and population HIV viral load suppression in all HIV-positive participants increased from 34% (546 of 1596) to 80% (1383 of 1734; p<0·0001). Risky sexual behaviours did not decrease over this period. HIV incidence decreased from 3·43 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2·45–4·67) in 2011–12 to 1·59 per 100 person-years (95% CI 1·19–2·07) in 2016–17; adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0·52 (95% CI 0·34–0·79). Declines in HIV incidence were similar among men (adjusted IRR 0·53, 95% CI 0·30–0·93) and women (0·51, 0·27–0·96). The risk of incident HIV infection was lower in circumcised men than in uncircumcised men (0·46, 0·32–0·67). Interpretation Rapid expansion of combination HIV interventions in HIV-hyperendemic fishing communities is feasible and could have a substantial impact on HIV incidence. However, incidence remains higher than HIV epidemic control targets, and additional efforts will be needed to achieve this global health priority. Funding The National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the National Institute of Child Health and Development, the National Cancer Institute, the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of Intramural Research, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Uganda, Karolinska Institutet, and the Johns Hopkins University Center for AIDS Research.
Migration and risk of HIV acquisition in Rakai, Uganda: a population-based cohort study
(The lancet HIV, 2018) Olawore, Oluwasolape; Tobian, Aaron A. R.; Kagaayi, Joseph; Bazaale, Jeremiah M.; Nantume, Betty; Kigozi, Grace; Nankinga, Justine; Nalugoda, Fred; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Kigozi, Godfrey; Gray, Ronald H.; Wawer, Maria J.; Ssekubugu, Robert; Santelli, John S.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Chang, Larry W.; Serwadda, David; Grabowski, Mary K.
In sub-Saharan Africa, migrants typically have higher HIV prevalence than non-migrants; however, whether HIV acquisition typically precedes or follows migration is unknown. We aimed to investigate the risk of HIV after migration in Rakai District, Uganda. Methods In a prospective population-based cohort of HIV-negative participants aged 15–49 years in Rakai, Uganda, between April 6, 1999, and Jan 30, 2015, we assessed the association between migration and HIV acquisition. Individuals were classified as recent in-migrants (≤2 years in community), non-recent in-migrants (>2 years in community), or permanent residents with no migration history. The primary outcome was incident HIV infection. We used Poisson regression to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of HIV associated with residence status with adjustment for demographics, sexual behaviours, and time. Data were also stratified and analysed within three periods (1999–2004, 2005–11, and 2011–15) in relation to the introduction of combination HIV prevention (CHP; pre-CHP, early CHP, and late CHP). Findings Among 26 995 HIV-negative people who participated in the Rakai Community Cohort Study survey, 15 187 (56%) contributed one or more follow-up visits (89 292 person-years of follow-up) and were included in our final analysis. 4451 (29%) were ever in-migrants and 10 736 (71%) were permanent residents. 841 incident HIV events occurred, including 243 (29%) among in-migrants. HIV incidence per 100 person-years was significantly increased among recent in-migrants compared with permanent residents, for both women (1·92, 95% CI 1·52–2·43 vs 0·93, 0·84–1·04; IRR adjusted for demographics 1·75, 95% CI 1·33–2·33) and men (1·52, 0·99–2·33 vs 0·84, 0·74–0·94; 1·74, 1·12–2·71), but not among non-recent in-migrants (IRR adjusted for demographics 0·94, 95% CI 0·74–1·19 for women and 1·28, 0·94–1·74 for men). Between the pre-CHP and late-CHP periods, HIV incidence declined among permanent resident men (p<0·0001) and women (p=0·002) and non-recent in-migrant men (p=0·031), but was unchanged among non-recent in-migrant women (p=0·13) and recent in-migrants (men p=0·76; women p=0·84) Interpretation The first 2 years after migration are associated with increased risk of HIV acquisition. Prevention programmes focused on migrants are needed to reduce HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa. Funding National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the National Institute of Child Health and Development, the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of Intramural Research, National Institutes of Health; the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and the Johns Hopkins University Center for AIDS Research.
Migration, hotspots, and dispersal of HIV infection in Rakai, Uganda
(Nature Communications, 2020) Grabowski, Mary Kate; Lessler, Justin; Bazaale, Jeremiah; Nabukalu, Dorean; Nankinga, Justine; Nantume, Betty; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Reynolds, Steven J.; Ssekubugu, Robert; Nalugoda, Fred; Kigozi, Godfrey; Kagaayi, Joseph; Santelli, John S.; Kennedy, Caitlin; Wawer, Maria J.; Serwadda, David; Chang, Larry W.; Gray, Ronald H.
HIV prevalence varies markedly throughout Africa, and it is often presumed areas of higher HIV prevalence (i.e., hotspots) serve as sources of infection to neighboring areas of lower prevalence. However, the small-scale geography of migration networks and movement of HIV-positive individuals between communities is poorly understood. Here, we use population-based data from ~22,000 persons of known HIV status to characterize migratory patterns and their relationship to HIV among 38 communities in Rakai, Uganda with HIV prevalence ranging from 9 to 43%. We find that migrants moving into hotspots had significantly higher HIV prevalence than migrants moving elsewhere, but out-migration from hotspots was geographically dispersed, contributing minimally to HIV burden in destination locations. Our results challenge the assumption that high prevalence hotspots are drivers of transmission in regional epidemics, instead suggesting that migrants with high HIV prevalence, particularly women, selectively migrate to these areas.
Prevalence and Predictors of Persistent Human Immunodeficiency Virus Viremia and Viral Rebound After Universal Test and Treat: A Population-Based Study
(The Journal of infectious diseases, 2021) Grabowski, M. Kate; Patel, Eshan U.; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Ssempijja, Victor; Ssekubugu, Robert; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Ndyanabo, Anthony; Kigozi, Godfrey; Nalugoda, Fred; Gray, Ronald H.; Kalibbala, Sarah; Serwadda, David M.; Laeyendecker, Oliver; Wawer, Maria J.; Chang, Larry W.; Quinn, Thomas C.; Kagaayi, Joseph; Tobian, Aaron A. R.; Reynolds, Steven J.
UNAIDS targets for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic control by 2030 include that 86% of all HIV-positive persons be on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and achieve HIV viral load (VL) suppression [1]. The major policy initiative underpinning this target is universal test and treat (UTT), whereby all HIV-positive persons, irrespective of CD4 count or severity of illness, are immediately prescribed ART [2]. In sub-Saharan Africa, which accounts for more than half of all new HIV diagnoses globally, there has been considerable progress in increasing ART coverage [
Qualitative Assessment of Barriers and Facilitators of PrEP Use Before and After Rollout of a PrEP Program for Priority Populations in South‑central Uganda
(AIDS and Behavior, 2021) Ddaaki, William; Strömdahl, Susanne; Teresa Yeh, Ping; Rosen, Joseph G.; Jackson, Jade; Nakyanjo, Neema; Kagaayi, Joseph; Kigozi, Godfrey; Nakigozi, Gertrude; Grabowski, M. Kathryn; Chang, Larry W.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Nalugoda, Fred; Ekström, Anna Mia; Kennedy, Caitlin E.
Uganda piloted HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for priority populations (sex workers, fishermen, truck drivers, discordant couples) in 2017. To assess facilitators and barriers to PrEP uptake and adherence, we explored perceptions of PrEP before and experiences after rollout among community members and providers in south-central Uganda. We conducted 75 indepth interviews and 12 focus group discussions. We analyzed transcripts using a team-based thematic framework approach. Partners, family, peers, and experienced PrEP users provided adherence support. Occupational factors hindered adherence for sex workers and fishermen, particularly related to mobility. Pre-rollout concerns about unskilled/untrained volunteers distributing PrEP and price-gouging were mitigated. After rollout, awareness of high community HIV risk and trust in PrEP effectiveness facilitated uptake. PrEP stigma and unexpected migration persisted as barriers. Community-initiated, tailored communication with successful PrEP users may optimize future engagement by addressing fears and rumors, while flexible delivery and refill models may facilitate PrEP continuation and adherence.
Smoker characteristics and trends in tobacco smoking in Rakai, Uganda, 2010–2018
(Tobacco Induced Diseases, 2022) Nalugoda, Fred; Nabukalu, Dorean; Ssekasanvu, Joseph; Ssekubugu, Robert; Hoe, Connie; Kagaayi, Joseph; Sewankambo, Nelson K.; Serwadda, David M.; Wawer, Maria J.; Grabowski, Kate M.; Reynolds, Steven J.; Kigozi, Godfrey; Gray, Ronald H.; Yeh, Ping T.; Chang, Larry W.
Tobacco use is a major public health concern, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where 80% of the world’s smokers reside. There is limited population-based data from rural Africa on patterns of tobacco smoking and smoker characteristics. We assessed trends in rates of smoking, characteristics of smokers, and factors associated with smoking using repeat population-based cross-sectional surveys in south-central Uganda. METHODS Data accrued over five survey rounds (2010–2018) of the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) from consenting individuals aged 15– 49 years including sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics and smoking status. Proportions of smokers per survey were compared using χ2 test for trends, and factors associated with smoking were assessed by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS The prevalence of tobacco smoking in the general population declined from 7.3% in 2010–2011 to 5.1% in 2016–2018, p<0.001. Smoking rates declined among males (13.9–9.2%) and females (2.2–1.8%) from 2010– 2011 to 2016–2018. Smoking prevalence was higher among previously married (11.8–11.7%) compared to currently (8.4–5.3%) and never married persons (3.1–1.8%) from 2010–2011 to 2016–2018. Older age (≥35 years) was associated with higher odds of smoking (AOR=8.72; 95% CI: 5.68– 13.39 in 2010–2011 and AOR=9.03; 95% CI: 5.42–15.06 in 2016–2018) compared to those aged <35 years (AOR=4.73; 95% CI: 3.15–7.12 in 2010–2011 and AOR=4.83; 95% CI: 2.95–7.91 in 2016–2018). Primary and secondary/higher education level was significantly associated with lower odds of smoking (AOR=0.20; 95% CI: 0.14–0.29 in 2010–2011 and AOR=0.26; 95% CI: 0.18–0.39 in 2016–2018) compared to no education (AOR=0.43; 95% CI: 0.31–0.59 in 2010–2011 and AOR=0.48; 95% CI: 0.34–0.68 in 2016–2018). Number of sexual partners and HIV status were not associated with smoking. CONCLUSIONS We observed declining trends in tobacco smoking in the Rakai region of rural Uganda. Smoking was more prevalent in men, older individuals, individuals who were previously married, and individuals with lower education. The decline in smoking may be due to tobacco control efforts, but there is a continued need to target sub-populations with higher smoking prevalence.

Browsing by Author "Chang, Larry W."

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