Browsing by Author "Bwire, Thomas"

Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
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    Are Graduates from the Arts-Related Academic Disciplines More Productive than those from the Science-Related Disciplines?
    (International Journal of Higher Education, 2019) Kakooza, Victoria; Wamala, Robert; Wokadala, James; Bwire, Thomas
    The experiences of employees from developed countries affirm that those from science/ technology-related disciplines benefit more through more technological inventions, than those from the Arts/ Humanities-related disciplines. The study utilizes statistical data of higher education graduates to determine a causal link between graduates from the two fore mentioned academic disciplines, and labour productivity in the developing country of Uganda. The data from 1985 to 2017 were analysed using the Vector Error Correction model, and revealed that arts graduates were as productive as the science graduates. The findings also show the existence of long-term relationship between academic discipline and labour productivity, as well as a bi-causality between the variables under study.
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    A Causal Model to Compare the Extent of Undergraduates’- Postgraduates’ Impact on Unemployment in Uganda
    (International Journal of Higher Education, 2019) Kakooza, Victoria; Wamala, Robert; Wokadala, James; Bwire, Thomas
    The combination of technological unemployment and oversupply of graduates has increased competition in the labour markets. Postgraduates have been noted to hold more than one job and in some cases apply for jobs meant for undergraduates. Could this imply that post graduates have created more overall unemployment than undergraduates have, in the Ugandan labour market? This is the novel of this study. This was accomplished by a statistical model that comparatively analysed the bi-causal effect of postgraduates on unemployment; versus effect of undergraduates on unemployment. As such, the study utilised Uganda’s secondary data from 1991 to 2017, and employed the Vector Error Correction (VECM) model. The results of the study showed the existence of a long run impact of both the postgraduates and undergraduates on overall unemployment, but an insignificant impact in the short run. The postgraduates had a greater impact on unemployment in the long run, than the undergraduates. The study therefore reveals an affirmative answer to the aforementioned question.
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    Do Graduates from Arts-Related Disciplines have a Higher Impact on Unemployment than Graduates from the Science-Related Disciplines?
    (International Journal of Higher Education, 2019) Kakooza, Victoria; Wamala, Robert; Wokadala, James; Bwire, Thomas
    There have been several attempts in developing countries to reduce both graduate and overall unemployment; with the majority attempts centered on changes in the education sector. To better understand this avenue, this study intends to comparatively establish the impact of the two broad discipline categories of- Arts and science related disciplines- on the overall unemployment. The study employed the Vector autoregressive (VAR) model to analyse Uganda’s data between 1991 and 2017. The findings of the study showed that the arts/humanities graduates have a slightly higher impact on unemployment than their counterparts from the science/technology disciplines in the short run in Uganda; with both groups of graduates having no significant effect on unemployment in the long run.
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    Does Higher Education Growth Increase Economic Growth?
    (African Journal of Multidisciplinary Research, 2019) Kakooza, Victoria; Wamala, Robert; Wokadala, James; Bwire, Thomas
    This study seeks to establish the existence of a causal relationship between higher education and economic growth in Uganda, with special focus on the categories of discipline, gender and level of higher education graduates. The study employs the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to establish the interrelationship between these two variables from 1985 to 2017. The results of this study reveal the existence of a long run but not short run effect of higher education on the growth of GDP. The results show a unidirectional causality that was established from GDP to: total graduates; male and female graduates, Arts and Science graduates, as well as postgraduate and undergraduates. The impact of economic growth on higher education was higher for the males compared to female graduates; graduates from science disciplines compared to the Arts, and undergraduates compared to postgraduates. Worth noting is the vital role of GCF as a link between the two variables of Growth and Higher education which was revealed in the findings
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    Modeling and Forecasting Inbound Tourism Demand for Long-Haul Markets of Beijing
    (Journal of China Tourism Research, 2013) Tukamushaba, Eddy K.; Shanshan Lin, Vera; Bwire, Thomas
    This paper aims to identify themost influencing factors ofBeijing’s inbound tourismdemand using the autoregressive distributed lag model (ADLM) and then generates forecasts of international tourist arrivals from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada for the period of 2010Q3–2015Q4. The general-to-specific modeling approach was adopted to achieve final models while the exponential smoothing method was used to produce forecasts for independent variables.Results show that factors such as “word of mouth” effect, income level of the origin source markets, the costs of tourism in Beijing, and the cost of tourism in the competing destinations are crucial determinants of the tourism flows from three longhaul international markets. A group of error measures, such as the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square percentage error (RMSPE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and Theil’s U statistic, were used to evaluate the forecasting accuracy. The results suggest that all three models have good forecasting abilities with theMAPEsranging from 5.73%to 14.89%. Implications are discussed and recommendations as well as future research directions are provided.